Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Obama numbers in PA don't add up

Shortly before 9 p.m., The Associated Press projected Barack Obama as the winner in Pennsylvania based on exit polls and less than 8 percent of the state's precincts reporting.

The AP says Obama is winning Pennsylvania by a 65% to 34% margin over John McCain. Does that make any sense to anyone? The most generous polls had Obama ahead by 10% in Pennsylvania, which John Kerry won by just 2% over George W. Bush in 2004.

Something doesn't add up. How could Obama win the state by a nearly 2-1 margin? How could Obama win Pennsylvania by a wider margin that he won his home state?

... Unless the AP sampling comes from Philadelphia alone.

Here's something else that's strange. In Michigan, the most recent numbers have McCain ahead of Obama by a 51% to 48% margin, but the AP is calling Obama the winner there.

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